Tuesday, August 30, 2016

My Investment Philosophy - Knowledge, Discipline and Patience

Currently, I have low financial liabilities and long term financial goals. So, I buy stocks with the objective to hold them for long term horizon.

        While identifying the stock for investment, I focus on following parameter
  • Business – I look for companies in flourishing sector. Then I select the companies with simple and easy to understand business. 
  • Companies - I prefer the companies operating over long term in past. Thereby analyze its sustainable competitive advantage (moat) and durability of that advantage. This is followed by analyzing Company’s product portfolio to determine whether it commands premium pricing?
  •  Management – I look for any increase or decrease in promoter stake in the company in recent years. I prefer companies that are transparent and honesty in communication to shareholders. I check whether the management is committed in its strategy. I scan through annual reports to identify whether effective corporate governance structure is in place. Management visions is analyzed by reading conference call transcripts, Management Discussion and Analysis or interviews with leading financial media.
  • Financials - I study 10-year historical performance track. For this, I primarily focus on sales growth (consistent earning power), EBITDA margin, Return on equity (moat will be reflected in higher ROE), Debt/Equity, free cash flow, Dividend payout and price to earnings ratio. 
  • Stock price – Value investing principles focuses on buying undervalued stocks, thereby ensure there is margin of safety. Determine intrinsic value and compare with current stock price, observe the stock and buy on dips.

        Other General Considerations
  • Observing companies product profile – I have inculcated that habit of observing the products of the companies. When Patanjali products started getting greater shelf spaces, I started tracking sale of FMCG gaints. I also compare company's product with competitors and check customer's review on online shopping websites as a part of stock analysis. 
  • I have decided to invest portion of salary each month and then spend the balance portion. I do not borrow to invest in equity
  • I study annual reports and other information about the company from finance media to identify the next multi bagger stock.
  • I evaluate the stocks position by considering whether the stock I am planning to buy or holding is affected by any of the behavioral Bias like trend chasing, disposition effect, familiarity bias, Endowment or other bias. 
  • I have experienced that more I study about the company, more I get biased about the stock. So, I have decided to make each investment decision independent of previous decision.

Stock pick - Asian Paints
  • Asian Paints (AP) is in paints industry since 1945. AP business model is easy to understand. 
  • Currently, it is a market leader in decorative paints, varnish and enamel with around 50% market share. 
  • Its wide range of products (new product launches each year), geographies (customer in 65 countries) and wide distribution (30,000 dealers and 300 idea stores). AP is shifting from being only paints company to home d├ęcor company (adding modern kitchen space and bathroom fitting products). It has strong brand recallability. 
  • Its promoter holding of 52.79% has been relatively constant. The management adheres to its core competency and have effectively integrated all mergers and acquisition. AP has effective corporate governance system in place. 
  • AP has recorded 15.5% average annual revenue growth over 2007 - 2016 and average annual EBITDA growth of 19.2% during same period. It has consistently maintained Return on capital employed over 45% with positive free cash flow. 

Saturday, July 23, 2016

Faircent - Park your funds

Faircent is peer to peer lending platform. It acts as marketplace and connect prospective borrowers and lenders. It is co-founded by Rajat Gandhi and Vinay Mathews in 2014. Faircent provides small loans with average ticket size of around Rs 1.5 lakh. It allows lenders to give personal loans in range of Rs 30,000 to Rs 5 lakh and up to Rs 15 lakh for business purposes. 

Business Model


Borrower and lenders have to register on portal by submitting requisite details and paying predetermined fees.

The borrowers profile is analyzed based on its internal rating and score is assigned to each borrowers. Based on the score the borrowers are bucketed into different category.

Once registered, borrowers and lenders can interact with each out without any intermediate party. Borrowers can raise request on platform or reach out to lenders citing their funds requirements. Lenders can also make offer to borrowers.

Faircent assigns ratings to borrowers by using algorithm that analyzes big data.  The rating is based on demographic, financial data from bank statements and credit cards, data from national credit bureau indicating history of servicing loan and social data from facebook and LinkedIn to identify the credit-worthiness of borrowers and to assign scores.

The terms and conditions of lending, interest rate and installment phases are negotiated and mutually decided by borrowers and lenders. The borrower has an option to accept or reject the offers from the lenders.

Once the consensus is reached, borrowers and lenders enter into formal contract. The contracts specifies detail of financial transaction along with liabilities of each party. 

Pictorial representation based on publicly available information. Icon obtained from Board of Innovation

Innovation based on psychology parameter: To ensure that borrowers do not default, the Company creates connects borrowers and lenders from same profession or same community or based on their mother tongue. This creates social pressure to repay loan and thereby reduce incidences of default in repayment. The borrower's profile is also rated by Editor - Low, Medium, High and very High risk. These rating is displayed on website to all visitors.

Partners

  • Yodlee provides cloud platform for digital financial service. Its bank account aggregation technology (to link multiple bank accounts - saving account, loan accounts, credit accounts, etc) would enable Faircent in reducing time taken in processing loan application and thereby make efficient lending decisions. It allows users to see credit card, bank and investment accounts on a single screen.
  • TransUnion for real time credit appraisal of borrower. TransUnion has an eKYC module based on Aadhar card. The partnership will enable Faircent to build robust algorithm for data analytics and maps multiple data points of potential borrowers in real time.
  • Lenddo uses customers social data and online behavior information in its patented model to determine individual's willingness to pay. 

Revenue Model

  • It’s a listing-based subscription model.
Listing fees from borrower - Rs. 1,500
Listing fees from lenders - Rs. 1,500 to invest up to Rs. 1.5 lakh. Thereafter, additional fees of Rs. 1,000 for every additional lakh. Thus, the effective fees received by Faircent is 1% of the lending amount.
  • The maximum recommended rate of interest ranges from 12% to 36% and the loan tenure from 6 months to 36 months.
  • Borrower of pay interest between 1-15th of every month. Failure to pay EMI attracts penalty interest of 24% p.a. on the amount due for the duration of delay. This penal interest is transferred to lender. Additionally, borrower also pays towards administrative fees and other charges
  • The interest received from borrowers is transferred to lender either by cheque or online fund transfer.
  • If borrowers defaults in paying regular monthly installment, then they are charged penal interest which is directly given to lenders.
  • If borrower profile is not accepted then Rs. 1,000 is refunded to them. 

Funds Raised



So, if you have funds lying ideal, park it here and earn cherish passive income

LendingKart - Cart for Loans


LendingKart is an online financing company founded by Harshvardhan Lunia and Mukul Sachan. It provides working capital loan for short duration to small and medium enterprises. 

It address the pain point of small businessman in traditional banking environment, where they has to undergo numerous evaluation process by bank before receiving funds. 

Lending kart blends banking with technology to interpret data generated during online consumer activities. This big data is analyzed using analytics to determine its lending decision.

Business function

Online Application: SME Vendors wishing to avail loan can fill in online application form. Loans are provided in range of ₹50,000 to ₹1 crores without pledging of any of their assets as collateral for tenure ranging from 1 month to 1 year. 

Low operating cost: Online business model enables lendingkart to keep its operational and distribution cost lower compare to branch model. Further, it operates from offices in Ahmedabad and Bangalore to cater to its customers base across 135 cities across 22 states as of Jun 2016. 

Small employee base: Lendingkart provides loan without collateral, so there is no need for physical verification of collateral. Thereby, it can manage its routine operations with small employee base. 

Technology partner: Lenddo's algorithm uses social media contacts and interactions of borrower and similar information to determine its credit worthiness. This collaboration with Lenddo will enable lendingkart to explore non-financial data for credit scoring evaluation. 

Quick Evaluation Process: The repayment capacity of borrower is evaluated majorly focusing on vendor’s current year cash flows and business growth. Normally, loan is sanctioned in a day and disbursed within next 1-3 days. 

Data Partner: Lendingkart has partnered with e-commerce marketplace website like flipkart, snapdeal, Jabong, Voonik, craftsvilla, CCavenue, PayU and paytm. It has also partnered with offline portal tradeindia. Partnering with these websites provides dual benefits to lendingkart. 
  • Attract larger number of small business that are registered on e-commerce websites 
  • Access e-commerce sellers quantative details like number of transactions carried out, annual turnover, cash flow and qualitative details like quality of its product, efficiency in responding to customers, ability to compete in markeplace. 
  • It analyzes the credit worthiness of its borrowers based on approx 2,200 qualitative and quantitative parameters that it obtains from e-commerce platform, and thereby arrives at its lending decision.

Pictorial representation based on publicly available information. Icon obtained from Board of Innovation

 Revenue Model

  • Lending cart charges interest of 1.5% - 2% per month to its borrowers, which is equivalent to interest rate of 18 - 24% per annum.
  • All loan are funds and sanctioned by LendingKart affiliate NBFCs.
  • Borrower pays one time processing charges of 1% of the sanctioned amount. Further, there are no pre-closure charges
  • Borrowers can pay interest or repay principal either biweekly or monthly
  • LendingKart witness 20% month-over-month growth in loan origination during 2014 - 2016. As per Techportal report Lendingkart disburses around 70 short term loans every month.

Funds raised

With the recent round of funding, the company has in total raised Rs. 260 crore ($41 million) till date.
So, go online for cash too

Source: LendingKart website and leading newspaper namely, Livemint, Yourstory, TimesofIndia, Economic Times, Moneycontrol